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July 30, 2016

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BOJ extends stimulus but disappoints

THE Bank of Japan expanded stimulus yesterday by doubling purchases of exchange-traded funds, yielding to pressure from the government and financial markets for bolder action, but disappointing investors who had set their hearts on more audacious measures.

The central bank, however, said it will conduct a thorough assessment of the effects of negative interest rates and its massive asset-buying program in September, suggesting that a major overhaul of its stimulus program may be forthcoming.

BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said the bank was conducting the review not because its policy tools have been exhausted but to come up with better ways to achieve its 2 percent target — keeping alive expectations of further monetary easing.

“I don’t think we’ve reached the limits both in terms of the possibility of more rate cuts and increased asset purchases,” Kuroda said after the policy meeting.

“We will of course consider what to do in terms of monetary policy steps, based on the outcome of the assessment.”

At the two-day rate review that ended yesterday, the BOJ decided to increase ETF purchases so its total holdings increase at an annual pace of 6 trillion yen (US$58 billion), up from the current 3.3 trillion yen. The decision was made by a 7-2 vote.

But the BOJ maintained its base money target at 80 trillion yen, as well as keeping to the existing pace of purchasing other assets including Japanese government bonds.

It left unchanged the 0.1 percent interest it charges on a portion of excess reserves that financial institutions park with the central bank.

“The BOJ did not live up to expectations,” said Norio Miyagawa, senior economist at Mizuho Securities. “Increasing ETF purchases makes no contribution to achieving 2 percent inflation. The BOJ won’t admit it, but it has reached the limits of quantitative easing and negative rates.”

By coordinating its action with the government’s promised US$272 billion economic stimulus spending package, the BOJ likely aimed to maximize the effect of its measures on an economy that is struggling to escape decades of stagnation.




 

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