China’s Q2 GDP growth seen to be flat from Q1
Print Edition
CHINA’S economy will grow by around 6.7 percent in the second quarter of 2016, on par with that recorded in the first quarter, a leading think tank said in a report yesterday.
The State Information Center, an institution affiliated with the National Development and Reform Commission, predicted that with infrastructure investment and the real estate sector gaining steam, the Chinese economy is likely to stabilize in the next six months.
The country’s economy grew 6.7 percent year on year in the first quarter. The growth further narrowed from the previous quarter’s 6.8 percent, which was already the lowest quarterly rate since the global financial crisis.
The State Information Center said indicators including output of cars and crude steel, power generation and industrial added value have shown the economy beginning to stabilize.
The government will spend 1.2 trillion yuan (US$184 billion) on infrastructure this year, and that will attract further investment worth 6 trillion yuan, according to the report.
Meanwhile, land and housing sales continue to increase. Although the property inventory is still excessive, the report sees real estate investment picking up in the short run.
The State Information Center singled out the service sector as a bright spot. With consumer spending on leisure, health care and information services increasing, the service sector should expand at around 7.5 percent in the second quarter, it said.
While consumer demand is stabilizing, slower income growth and the lackluster job market cast a long shadow. The report estimated retail sales of consumer goods will grow by around 10.5 percent in the April-June period.
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